Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 70.395394 78.529020 86.924592 96.216116 106.189210 116.551021 128.108868
2025-02-23 57.314927 69.174730 82.072831 97.047230 113.858301 132.056418 153.151410
2025-03-02 48.588279 62.091416 77.332764 95.619355 116.771619 140.284460 168.208062
2025-03-09 42.243258 56.839552 73.867526 94.886957 119.821204 148.151880 182.463747
2025-03-16 37.516006 52.906411 71.400697 94.806473 123.179357 156.018192 196.443308
2025-03-23 35.029230 51.420663 71.615938 97.706125 129.893831 167.702275 214.847503
2025-03-30 31.976636 48.899012 70.279748 98.469754 133.848367 175.999068 229.205382
2025-04-06 29.302600 46.618453 69.029086 99.147537 137.549591 183.899813 243.057594
2025-04-13 25.741327 42.828744 65.546618 96.725591 137.166160 186.657610 250.567218
2025-04-20 24.595968 42.292596 66.284666 99.709898 143.590251 197.812540 268.399146
2025-04-27 23.076089 41.087841 66.012890 101.280717 148.154867 206.646343 283.412030
2025-05-04 21.445217 39.585459 65.219971 102.062902 151.636055 214.096065 296.725703
2025-05-11 20.756815 39.490307 66.427770 105.642054 158.934213 226.603669 316.696417
2025-05-18 19.433935 38.321514 66.040658 106.995386 163.292114 235.411224 332.121271
2025-05-25 17.396583 35.850637 63.614665 105.370498 163.549783 238.857266 340.692665
2025-06-01 15.783801 33.928699 61.875554 104.605298 164.884805 243.649651 350.968867
2025-06-08 14.487159 32.422725 60.665650 104.515096 167.083451 249.544059 362.670553
2025-06-15 14.054377 32.368083 61.658880 107.621704 173.721896 261.349650 382.125301
2025-06-22 13.132029 31.371843 61.125039 108.439145 177.147770 268.894466 396.070860
2025-06-29 12.261873 30.394982 60.561168 109.164772 180.418749 276.232960 409.779987
2025-07-06 10.796389 28.172442 57.869302 106.571527 178.881319 277.022717 414.808877
2025-07-13 10.555018 28.274750 58.974153 109.766720 185.653764 289.120620 434.898381
2025-07-20 10.047627 27.810349 59.106294 111.447782 190.246196 298.275951 451.132755